氢能产业从规划进入施工阶段Hydrogen Industry Moves from Planning into Construction Phase
【绿色燃料国际商务网】获悉,香橙会研究院发布最新行业报告指出,中国氢能产业已从规划论证阶段正式进入大规模施工建设阶段,标志着氢能产业化进程进入全新时期。
这一判断有一个重要注脚。7月30日,湖北省政府召开氢能专题会议,由省委副书记、省长李殿勋主持,研究加快推动全省氢能规模化商用与产业可持续发展有关工作,听取省有关部门工作汇报及产业链重点企业、专家学者的意见建议。香橙会研究院点评认为,虽然吉林、内蒙古等氢能资源富集省份此前已有相关动作,但由省长主持召开省政府氢能专题会议,在湖北尚属首次,是我国氢能产业发展的一个关键转折点。
从会议释放的信号看,“规模化商用”“商业模式构建”“可持续发展”被反复强调,与此前许多地方偏重规划发布、项目签约的早期阶段明显不同。这表明,在顶层政策框架基本成型、“十五五”绿氢目标已经明确的背景下,省级政府的工作重心正在从“要不要发展”转向“如何产业化”。
报告显示,当前全国在建和拟建的绿氢项目超过百个,电解槽产能快速增长,制氢成本持续下降。政策端同样密集发力:工信部印发《工业绿色低碳发展“十五五”规划》,对氢能产业作出系统性部署;国家能源局拟立项48项氢基能源行业标准,覆盖绿色航空燃料、绿色甲醇和绿色合成氨核证、电解槽及膜电极测试、可再生能源制氢工程、输氢管道、储氢、制氢加氢一体站及燃料电池等领域,计划完成年限均为2028年。
应用端也亮点频出。国内首批绿氨规模化出口完成,3750吨绿氨由吉林大安经陆路运至江苏连云港装船发往韩国,创下全球绿氨最大单批次出口纪录;朔州提出四年内推广1000台氢燃料电池重卡;山东港口首台氢能辅助动力系统改造正面吊投用。这些案例共同表明,氢能正从“交通燃料”的单一角色,向“工业原料+能源载体”双轮驱动转型。
香橙会分析认为,从“规划”到“施工”的转变,折射出氢能产业链各环节技术成熟度和经济性的实质性提升。随着五大城市群示范项目深入推进,氢能产业有望在未来2至3年内实现从示范到规模化的关键跨越。
According to Green Fuel International Business Network, the latest industry report released by the Xiangchenghui Research Institute points out that China's hydrogen industry has formally moved from the planning and demonstration stage into a stage of large-scale construction, marking a brand-new period in the industrialization of hydrogen.
There is an important footnote to this judgment. On July 30, the Hubei Provincial Government held a special meeting on hydrogen, chaired by Li Dianxun, Deputy Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee and Governor, to study work related to accelerating the large-scale commercial use of hydrogen and the sustainable development of the industry across the province, and to hear work reports from relevant provincial departments as well as opinions and suggestions from key enterprises in the industry chain, experts and scholars. The Xiangchenghui Research Institute commented that although provinces rich in hydrogen resources such as Jilin and Inner Mongolia had already taken relevant action, a provincial government special meeting on hydrogen chaired by the governor was a first for Hubei and represents a key turning point in the development of China's hydrogen industry.
Judging from the signals released by the meeting, "large-scale commercial use," "building a business model" and "sustainable development" were repeatedly emphasized, clearly different from the earlier stage when many localities focused on publishing plans and signing projects. This shows that, with the top-level policy framework largely in place and the "15th Five-Year Plan" green hydrogen targets already defined, the focus of provincial governments is shifting from "whether to develop" to "how to industrialize."
The report shows that more than 100 green hydrogen projects are currently under construction or planned nationwide, electrolyzer capacity is growing rapidly and hydrogen production costs continue to fall. Policy efforts are also intensifying: the MIIT issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for Green and Low-Carbon Industrial Development," making systematic arrangements for the hydrogen industry; and the National Energy Administration plans to establish 48 hydrogen-based energy industry standards, covering green aviation fuel, certification of green methanol and green synthetic ammonia, testing of electrolyzers and membrane electrodes, renewable energy hydrogen production engineering, hydrogen pipelines, hydrogen storage, integrated hydrogen production and refueling stations and fuel cells, with planned completion years all in 2028.
The application side also produced frequent highlights. China's first large-scale green ammonia export was completed, with 3,750 tonnes of green ammonia transported overland from Da'an, Jilin to Lianyungang, Jiangsu and shipped to South Korea, setting a world record for the largest single-batch green ammonia export; Shuozhou proposed promoting 1,000 hydrogen fuel cell heavy trucks within four years; and the first hydrogen auxiliary power system retrofit reach stacker at Shandong Port was put into use. Together these cases show that hydrogen is transforming from the single role of "transportation fuel" to a dual-engine model of "industrial feedstock + energy carrier."
Xiangchenghui analysis holds that the shift from "planning" to "construction" reflects substantive improvements in the technological maturity and economics of every link in the hydrogen industry chain. With demonstration projects in the five major city clusters advancing in depth, the hydrogen industry is expected to achieve the key leap from demonstration to scale within the next two to three years.
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