新闻分析|欧洲氢能发展面临哪些挑战News Analysis | What Challenges Does Europe's Hydrogen Development Face?
【绿色燃料国际商务网】获悉,新华社华沙8月27日电,在23日至27日波兰华沙举行的第21届国际氢能理论与工程解决方案研讨会上,成本、市场和供应链成为高频话题。欧洲氢能发展正从技术和政策驱动转向更加现实的经济性检验。
乌克兰危机升级后,欧洲多国大幅调整能源进口来源,但依赖并未消失。欧盟委员会数据显示,欧盟57%的能源消费仍来自进口化石燃料,2025年相关进口额约3400亿欧元。欧委会今年推出“加速欧盟”一揽子行动方案,将清洁能源转型视为经济、竞争力和安全需要。业内人士普遍认为,氢能重要性在于为高比例可再生能源系统和难减排行业“补位”。
商业化仍待破局。国际能源署6月发布报告说,2025年全球氢需求超过1亿吨,几乎全部集中在炼油和工业等传统用途,低碳氢产量仅约100万吨;全球已投运电解槽能力去年翻番至4吉瓦以上,但市场扩张慢于预期。到2030年,已获投资承诺及较可能投产的低碳氢产量预计由1000万吨降至约600万吨,高成本、需求不确定、法规复杂及基础设施不足仍是主要障碍。
在供应链方面,欧盟《净零工业法案》已将供应链韧性纳入清洁技术采购和新能源拍卖。欧委会今年7月发布指导文件提出,公共支出不能只奖励最低价格,还应考虑项目对欧洲清洁能源供应链可持续性和韧性的贡献。波兰已与意大利、德国、葡萄牙、瑞典、挪威和丹麦等欧洲伙伴共同推进氢能技术进步和产业落地。
国际能源署数据显示,2025年全球电解槽装机容量翻番至超过4吉瓦,其中中国贡献近四分之三的新增装机容量。波兰与中国科研机构已在材料研究、系统建设等方面开展合作,双方正共同探索推动技术从实验室走向制造和市场,未来合作还可能延伸至贸易和产业应用。
According to Green Fuel International Business Network, Xinhua News Agency, Warsaw, August 27 - at the 21st International Symposium on Hydrogen Energy Theory and Engineering Solutions held in Warsaw, Poland, from the 23rd to the 27th, cost, market and supply chain became high-frequency topics. Europe's hydrogen energy development is shifting from technology- and policy-driven to a more realistic test of economics.
After the escalation of the Ukraine crisis, many European countries substantially adjusted their energy import sources, but the dependence has not disappeared. European Commission data show that 57% of the EU's energy consumption still comes from imported fossil fuels, with related imports worth about €340 billion in 2025. This year the European Commission launched the "Accelerate the EU" package of action plans, viewing the clean energy transition as a need of the economy, competitiveness and security. Industry insiders generally believe that the importance of hydrogen energy lies in "plugging the gap" for systems with a high share of renewable energy and for hard-to-abate industries.
Commercialization has yet to break through. A report released by the International Energy Agency in June said that global hydrogen demand exceeded 100 million tonnes in 2025, almost all concentrated in traditional uses such as refining and industry, with low-carbon hydrogen output at only about 1 million tonnes; global installed electrolyzer capacity doubled last year to more than 4 GW, but market expansion has been slower than expected. By 2030, low-carbon hydrogen output with investment commitments and that is fairly likely to come on stream is expected to fall from 10 million tonnes to about 6 million tonnes, with high costs, uncertain demand, complex regulations and insufficient infrastructure remaining the main obstacles.
On the supply chain side, the EU's Net-Zero Industry Act has incorporated supply chain resilience into clean technology procurement and new energy auctions. A guidance document released by the European Commission in July this year proposed that public spending should not only reward the lowest price but should also consider a project's contribution to the sustainability and resilience of Europe's clean energy supply chain. Poland has joined with European partners including Italy, Germany, Portugal, Sweden, Norway and Denmark to advance hydrogen energy technology progress and industrial deployment.
International Energy Agency data show that global installed electrolyzer capacity doubled to more than 4 GW in 2025, with China contributing nearly three quarters of the newly added capacity. Polish and Chinese research institutions have already carried out cooperation in materials research and system construction, and the two sides are jointly exploring ways to move technology from the laboratory to manufacturing and the market, with future cooperation potentially extending to trade and industrial applications.
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